Reposted from Dr. Susan Crockford’s Polar Bear Science Posted on February 24, 2020 | Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. In fact, though polar bears were placed under the protection of the Endangered Species Act in 2008 over concerns that its Arctic hunting grounds were being reduced by a warming climate, the polar bear population has been stable for the last three decades. It shows clearly that summer sea ice (measured as the average for September) has not declined further since 2007 but has had a flat trend. Only? State of the Polar Bear Report 2018. They told us that models likely underestimated the decline in Arctic sea ice, and told us that “when the ice goes, the polar bears will go.” They expected polar bears to be extinct by 2030 – and possibly even by today. “Old carbon reservoirs unlikely to cause massive greenhouse gas release, study finds” : https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/02/200220141710.htm & Douglas, D.C. 2007. It’s fixed, the data are back again, why wmail request to DMI was answered sometimes later. It’s rather obvious that an increase of .182 ppm would increase temperature by nearly nothing, and 86 times nearly nothing is still nearly nothing. The final estimate 26,000-58,000 or 39,000 average) is my plausible and scientifically defensible ‘best guess’ based on extrapolation of recent survey results, summarized here and explained in detail in my book. Ugarte said his analysis suggests that the decline of sea ice will lead to a decline in the total population of polar bears of about 30 percent by 2050 — but not extinction. It shows clearly that summer sea ice (measured as the average for September) has not declined further since 2007 but has had a flat trend. The fact is there is more ice in summers now than for most of the past 10,000 years. Global Warming Policy Foundation, London. Historical seaice chart archive There are several lines of evidence that the arctic was seasonally free of sea ice during the early Holocene, ie. We recruited environmentalists to shave polar bears with Barbisol and Bic razors. 2015. One of Google’s top ‘suggestion’ when I search for the term ‘polar bear’ is a list of questions that people supposedly ask the most (‘People also ask’), including ‘Why are polar bears going extinct?’. The comment above is a snippet from an article I wrote back in 2011. ‘I heard from the ship that two bears were walking directly towards us. Well we might be telling stories of polar bears to our children if the climate continues to change at the present rate. How can that be? The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2015: e.T22823A14871490. January 22, 2020 By E. Calvin Beisner Leave a Comment. February 29, 2020. usissuescom Discussion Categories, Statistics Alarmism, Extinction, Polar Bears, Population, Summer Sea Ice. The Arctic ice has been on the retreat for at least 150 years. There is a person going under the name of Griff on “Mail on Line”. Reposted from Dr. Susan Crockford’s Polar Bear Science. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. Another question Google offers is: ‘How many polar bears are left?’ Answer [my bold]: ‘In fact, the World Wide Fund for Nature (or WWF) estimates that there are only 22,000 to 31,000 polar bears left in the world. Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. Ursus maritimus. It is a small price to pay to consider the polar bears extinct even if they are not if it means it will galvanize people into grand useless gestures designed to prevent global catastrophe due to temperature increase due to the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. I regard them as the least reliable source on any ecological issues. Research published in July 2020 suggested polar bears may be wiped out by the end of the 21st century. It is true that in 2007, it was predicted that polar bear numbers would plummet when summer sea ice declined to 42% of 1979 levels for 8 out of 10 years (anticipated to occur by 2050) and extinct or nearly so by 2100 (Amstrup et al. This is the result of a new study by the WWF and the Norwegian Polar Institute (NPI). Google says many people ask this question so here is the correct answer: polar bears are not going extinct. We are just seeing an oscillation about a line with a positive slope. Scientists believe that climate change could cause polar bears to go extinct by the end of the century. ... we are still going to see some subpopulations go extinct before the end of the century,” Molnár said. Global Warming Policy Foundation Report 32, London. Mon 20 Jul 2020 11.00 EDT. The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened. The prediction of imminent extinction of the polar bear was an utter failure, as I’ve shown in this scientific paper (Crockford 2017) and my most recent book, The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened. According to MODTRAN a doubling of CH4 from 1.7 to 3.4 ppm will cause a temperature rise of 0.2 degrees given a US 1976 Standard Atmosphere Profile. In 1984, the polar bear population was estimated at 25,000. PeerJ Preprints 19 January 2017. TTY Said: Düsseldorf (rpo). Good of you to post this, Charles Rotter. But the children are already crying. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). The Arctic ice is only beginning to grow from much less. Translated with http://www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version) Most of the worlds coral reefs disappear. Biology Letters 12: 20160556. http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/12/12/20160556. Crockford, S.J. Why are polar bears going extinct? The graph below is from my book and shows the growth of global polar bear numbers since the 1960s. In Arctic the temperature increases much more than one degree. So far, the response of polar bears to recent ice loss suggests that they will continue to thrive with even less summer ice than there has been in recent years as long as ice in winter (December-March) and spring (April-June) remains reasonably abundant, as has been the case to date. When Fred stepped out from behind an ice wall and drew his bow at the approaching polar bear, and the bear raised up on his hind legs, Fred lowered the arrow and the bow and stepped back behind the ice wall, and said something along the lines of “&%#)/&?¡!xx!, did you see how big that thing is?”. Patrick, not sure if you refer to my comment above, but I can assure you I am not Griff 2019. One thing is corrtect, the difference between summer low and winter high seaice extend seems to increase. The graph below is from my book and shows the growth of global polar bear numbers since the 1960s. Most of the successful growth in polar bear populations can be attributed to my successful Shave The Bears Campaign. Polar bears will go extinct by 2100 because of climate change, study says Studies have long shown that declining sea ice will lead to a decline in polar bears… I am happy to se Dr. Crockford keeps her head in the game, politics at universities notwithstanding. The “real world” experience grows out of MSM, not in the physical world. However, summer sea ice has been at ‘mid-century-like’ levels since 2007 (with year to year variation, see NOAA ice chart below) yet polar bear numbers have increased since 2005. Reposted from Dr. Susan Crockford’s Polar Bear Science. There is not one polar bear remaining on the Great Barrier Reef. So far, the response of polar bears to recent ice loss suggests that they will continue to thrive with even less summer ice than there has been in recent years as long as ice in winter (December-March) and spring (April-June) remains reasonably abundant, as has been the case to date. Available in paperback and ebook formats. in 2007, it was predicted that polar bear numbers would plummet when summer sea ice declined to 42% of 1979 levels. It seems that the pigs from George Orwell’s Animal Farm successfully rewrote the history. Posted on February 24, 2020 | Comments Off on Why are polar bears going extinct? I’ll suggest the reason they’re going extinct is that they are too stupid to realize they live in a frozen wasteland, and that their constant discomfort from being cold and struggling for food has drained them of whatever will to live they previously had. Why don’t we see polar bears, or at least some enlightened individual animal, move to Prince of Whales Island or some other warmer place? PeerJ Preprints 19 January 2017. Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus). The prediction of imminent extinction of the polar bear was an utter failure, as I’ve shown in this scientific paper (Crockford 2017) and my most recent book, The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! The most recent information available is summarized in the upcoming State of the Polar Bear Report 2019, to be released 27 February 2020 but see also the 2018 report (Crockford 2019b). However, summer sea ice has been at ‘mid-century-like’ levels since 2007 (with year to year variation, see NOAA ice chart below) yet polar bear numbers have increased since 2005. In mid- to late summer, when the edge of the sea ice is hundreds of miles from the coast, and the tundra is snow-free, and small mammals thrive on vegetation, polar bears will likely stay on land to hunt small mammals or freshwater fish in rivers, and they don’t really need sea ice. “As global temperatures rise, permafrost and methane hydrates — large reservoirs of ancient carbon — have the potential to break down, releasing enormous quantities of the potent greenhouse gas methane. 2007; Crockford 2017, 2019). I will go there and ask them about white privilege and hope not be eaten alive. The slow but steady melting of the ice can be traced on 6,000 maps. See the supplement for population figures here. If Weinstein and Epstein (or other –steins) would self-identify as Polar Bears, whey would never be prosecuted for anything. Scientists are blaming the climate crisis and say it could happen by 2100. A study published Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change describes how critical sea ice is to polar bears… This global estimate, provided by the IUCN Red List (not the WWF) means there are almost three times more polar bears than the 10,000 or so there were in 1960 (Regehr et al. Griff used to haunt the climate change pages of the Daily Telegraph before they sacked their environmental columnists ‘because advertisers would no longer pay their salaries’. MSM will never dare to critic them even for raping their females and killing then eating their children. A dire new climate change report projects polar bears could reach extinction within the next 80 years, putting a timeline on the crisis for the first time, as the beloved Arctic species continues to suffer along with melting ice habitats. Available in paperback and ebook formats. & Douglas, D.C. 2007. 2016. Available from http://www.iucnredlist.org/details/22823/0 [accessed Nov. 28, 2015]. Has Griff decided for the third time that he won’t grace us with his presence anymore? Why do people keep buying into this bullshit? There are certainly numerous papers since 2013 that directly contradict the orthodox view besides Susan Crockford’s book “ The Polar Bear Catastrophe that never happened”. 1. Amstrup, S.C., Marcot, B.G. P olar bears are likely to go extinct before the end of the 21 st century. State of the Polar Bear Report 2018. The graph below was constructed by NASA sea ice expert Walt Meier and published by the US National Snow and Ice Data Center in early October 2019. Election 2020 Full Election Results Thanks to Dr. Crockford. Of course it will be said that it is minimums that matter. The proxy record of arctic sea ice, as validated by a number of different proxies, is a big problem for the alarmists. In the past, they were blissfully unaware that warmer places existed, and that their lot in life was as it always had been. As Crockford observes, “Examine the evidence and you will see that claims of polar bears going extinct are simply not true. 3. Ref. tty February 20, 2020 at 1:27 pm I told the scientists to pack up. Not sure how many bears were shaved but none of the environmentalists returned resulting in better decision making. A few days ago Seriously, what is wrong with you people. Researchers found that even if methane is released from these natural stores in response to warming, very little reaches the atmosphere; therefore, anthropogenic emissions should be more concerning than these natural feedbacks. This was a practical response to global warming. 2007). Polar bears are well-distributed across their available habitat and population numbers are high (officially 22,000-31,000 at 2015 but likely closer to 26,000-58,000 at 2018): these are features of a healthy, thriving species. The current scientific consensus places the worldwide polar bear population between 20,000 and 25,000 animals, more polar bears than existed prior to … Don’t worry about what they call you.” – Andrew Breitbart | read more, “…the world’s most viewed climate website” The molecular weight of methane is 16 and the weight of CO2 is 44. At the alleged rate of sea level rise it would take over 600 years to return to that past level. Watch polar bear habitat reform in the Canadian Arctic: “last 10 days” Canadian Ice Service animation (works anytime). Polar Bears deserve full respect and support because of the White Privilege they inherently poses. Note the statement misleadingly says ‘sea ice’ when it really means ‘summer sea ice’ – the predictions of potential polar bear population decline were based exclusively on summer ice (Amstrup et al. There is no mention of polar bears in Summary for Policy Makers 2013. Forecasting the rangewide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century. Polar bears are well-distributed across their available habitat and… So if methane increases by 500 parts per billion by 2100 an equal mass of CO2 would be (15/44)x500=182 ppb or .182 ppm. It is so easy to use the polar bears as mascot for GCCCP (Global Communist Climate Change Propaganda, called CCCP between 1922 and 1991), because the average people don’t see them, can’t count them and don’t get eaten by them.

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